Trainers, the 7KM Egg hatch rate for regional Pokemon has been discovered, u/cjmithli Redditor took results from 3698 Eggs and manage to calculate the hatch rate for 7KM Special Eggs.
cjmithli concluded that 12.5% chance is for the regional group, 12.5% chance for the Porygon/Tangela group, and 75% chance for the Alolan group
“Farfetch’d, Kangaskhan, Mr. Mime, and Tauros will be joining the Alolan Pokémon in 7 km Eggs through the end of September!
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So here are the results:
| Pokemon | Rate | Chance | Rarity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diglett | 4/32 | 12.5% | Common |
| Geodude | 4/32 | 12.5% | Common |
| Grimer | 4/32 | 12.5% | Common |
| Meowth | 4/32 | 12.5% | Common |
| Sandshrew | 4/32 | 12.5% | Common |
| Vulpix | 4/32 | 12.5% | Common |
| Porygon | 2/32 | 6.25% | Uncommon |
| Tangela | 2/32 | 6.25% | Uncommon |
| Farfetch’d | 1/32 | 3.125% | Rare |
| Kangaskhan | 1/32 | 3.125% | Rare |
| Mr. Mime | 1/32 | 3.125% | Rare |
| Tauros | 1/32 | 3.125% | Rare |
The chance to hatch an Alolan Pokemon is 75%
| Pokemon | % of Alolan Eggs* |
|---|---|
| Diglett | 17.6% |
| Geodude | 16.6% |
| Grimer | 12.8% |
| Meowth | 20.3% |
| Sandshrew | 18.1% |
| Vulpix | 14.5% |
We think that the odds of getting each type of Alolan Pokemon are 16.6% as there is only a slight deviation in each Pokemon.
The chance to hatch a regional is 12.5%
| Pokemon | % of Regional Eggs |
|---|---|
| Tauros | 28.3% |
| Farfetch’d | 21.0% |
| Mr. Mime | 25.1% |
| Kangaskhan | 25.7% |
We can see from this that they are all roughly around 25%, and we have no reason to believe Niantic would boost certain ones over others.
The chance to hatch a Tangela or Porygon is 12.5%
The odds of Getting Tangela or Porygon is in ratio 1:1
The Author has also created a simple infographic on the above info
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